U.S. stock futures rallied early on Monday as strong manufacturing data out of China eased worries of a possible global economic slowdown.
Dow Jones Industrial Average futures pointed to a gain of 209 points at the open, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indexes were also in positive territory.
A private survey showed the country’s manufacturing activity expanded unexpectedly in March, at its fastest pace in eight months. The data sent the Shanghai Composite up more than 2.5 percent overnight. European shares also rose broadly.
The figures gave some much-needed relief to investors unnerved of late by fears of a global economic downturn. Early last week, equities came under pressure as bond markets indicated an impending U.S. recession.
The yield on the 10-year Treasury note recently dipped below that of the 3-month bill, in what’s known as a yield curve inversion. A yield curve inversion is seen as a trusted predictor of a recession.
“The cycle is extended, and the inverted curve has made us even more alert for trouble in the economy and financial markets, but we do not think trouble is imminent,” Doug Peta, chief U.S. investment strategist at BCA Research, said in a note. “We are not dismissing the inverted yield curve, but our other recession-indicator inputs are not confirming its warning. Given the Fed’s new guidance, we expect that the next recession will not arrive before mid-to-late 2020.”
Monday’s gains came after the S&P 500 notched last week its best start to a year since 1998 and its strongest quarterly performance since 2009. The broad index gained 13.1 percent in the first quarter, led by the technology sector.
In other news boosting markets, the U.S. and China recently concluded their latest round of trade talks. U.S. officials last week said China had made proposals on a number of issues — including forced technology transfers — that go further than previous commitments.
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